Michigan State
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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RankNameGradeRating
47  Caleb Rhynard JR 31:31
137  Alex Wilson SR 31:56
177  Sherod Hardt SO 32:05
194  Ben Miller SR 32:08
220  Ben Carruthers SR 32:14
297  Nick Soter SO 32:27
325  Andrew Cusmano JR 32:31
459  Chris Collier JR 32:47
562  Max Benoit FR 32:57
637  David Madrigal SR 33:05
1,004  Garret Zuk SO 33:39
1,107  Nick Moon JR 33:48
1,140  Alex Whitmer FR 33:52
1,146  Drake Veitenheimer SR 33:52
1,800  Joe Oehrli SO 34:43
1,956  Josh Kersjes SO 34:57
2,016  Ryan Beyea JR 35:03
National Rank #19 of 311
Great Lakes Region Rank #3 of 31
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 95.4%
Most Likely Finish 18th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 8.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 56.3%


Regional Champion 6.6%
Top 5 in Regional 99.3%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Caleb Rhynard Alex Wilson Sherod Hardt Ben Miller Ben Carruthers Nick Soter Andrew Cusmano Chris Collier Max Benoit David Madrigal Garret Zuk
Roy Griak Invitational 09/27 459 30:50 31:57 32:01 32:14 31:46 32:35 33:17 32:31
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 543 31:25 31:47 32:06 32:11 32:20 32:29 33:00
Wisconsin adidas Invitational - B 10/17 1018 32:18 32:47 33:05 33:39
Big Ten Conference Championship 11/02 572 31:28 32:06 32:03 32:12 32:13 32:20 32:17 32:28 33:12
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/14 547 31:39 32:01 32:07 31:54 32:18 32:08 32:23
NCAA Championship 11/22 682 32:23 31:49 32:11 32:10 32:28 33:10 33:56





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 95.4% 18.9 490 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.6 1.5 2.7 3.0 3.6 4.0 4.4 5.7 5.5 5.0 5.7 5.4 5.6 5.4 5.2 4.7 4.3 3.8 3.5 3.5 2.9 2.6 2.0 1.1
Region Championship 100% 3.1 98 6.6 20.2 34.3 30.3 7.9 0.6 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Caleb Rhynard 99.0% 49.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.5
Alex Wilson 95.5% 111.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sherod Hardt 95.4% 135.1
Ben Miller 95.4% 144.3
Ben Carruthers 95.4% 158.6
Nick Soter 95.4% 186.4
Andrew Cusmano 95.4% 195.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Caleb Rhynard 6.1 2.2 5.2 9.3 10.9 11.3 10.0 7.4 5.9 5.1 4.4 3.5 2.8 3.0 2.2 2.1 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.6
Alex Wilson 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 2.5 3.1 4.1 4.6 5.2 5.2 4.8 4.8 4.6 4.3 4.5 4.2 3.7 3.3 2.7 3.1 3.3 2.3 2.1 2.4
Sherod Hardt 21.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.5 1.8 2.3 2.7 3.4 3.8 4.1 4.3 4.1 4.3 4.7 4.2 4.0 3.1 3.7 3.4 3.0 2.9
Ben Miller 23.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.3 2.5 2.9 3.3 4.0 4.2 4.1 3.5 3.8 3.4 3.8 3.9 3.6 3.5 3.7
Ben Carruthers 26.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.4 2.5 4.0 3.5 3.2 4.1 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.8
Nick Soter 34.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.7 2.8 2.8
Andrew Cusmano 38.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.3 1.9 2.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 6.6% 100.0% 6.6 6.6 1
2 20.2% 100.0% 20.2 20.2 2
3 34.3% 98.5% 1.1 0.8 0.6 6.0 5.8 3.9 4.2 3.3 2.9 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.7 0.5 33.8 3
4 30.3% 94.9% 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.3 1.7 2.1 4.3 4.3 4.0 4.3 3.3 3.0 1.5 28.8 4
5 7.9% 75.9% 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.4 1.0 0.8 1.9 6.0 5
6 0.6% 3.4% 0.0 0.6 0.0 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
Total 100% 95.4% 6.6 20.2 1.1 1.0 0.8 6.2 7.1 5.9 6.4 8.1 8.0 6.9 7.6 5.1 4.5 4.6 26.8 68.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Arkansas 98.4% 1.0 1.0
Texas 91.6% 1.0 0.9
North Carolina 70.4% 2.0 1.4
Oklahoma 58.7% 1.0 0.6
Iowa State 42.0% 2.0 0.8
Minnesota 35.0% 2.0 0.7
Eastern Kentucky 22.6% 1.0 0.2
Princeton 14.7% 1.0 0.1
Lamar 13.6% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 7.6% 3.0 0.2
Texas-Arlington 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 6.2
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 14.0